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Red81
942530.7
884728.6
976015.8
Blue191
162560.8
623741.3
478656.9
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62170010015020025030081191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+90
Endgame+110
Fouls+110
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave3
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points27
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +69
17Coral scored#25
60Coral points91
0Processor algae#3
2Net algae#7
0Processor points18
8Net points28
8Algae points46
68Total teleop137
Reef
5L4#12
6L3#8
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
20Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +110
0Foul points0
81Total score191

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9425
#33
30.70.0
18.118.1
Auto6.8
Teleop20.4
End3.5
blue by 30.1
60.82.4
52.554.9
Auto12.3
Teleop40.4
End8.1
Second
8847
#40
28.60.0
22.322.3
Auto1.9
Teleop20.0
End6.7
blue by 28.3
56.92.4
47.750.1
Auto17.8
Teleop34.9
End4.3
Third
9760
#42
15.80.0
20.520.4
Auto4.6
Teleop10.3
End0.9
blue by 25.6
6237
#17
41.32.4
36.238.5
Auto5.8
Teleop29.4
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed37%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed87%Barge oddsEarned