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Red125
282641.2
359620.9
657454.9
Blue91
976015.8
802918.8
791546.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1006705015020012591

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+26Teleop
+36Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave3
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +25
15Coral scored#11
54Coral points41
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
18Processor points6
16Net points16
34Algae points22
88Total teleop63
Reef
8L4#6
6L3#2
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points2
125Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6574
#21
54.92.2
41.643.8
Auto9.2
Teleop36.7
End8.9
red by 8.1
7915
#23
46.72.3
22.925.3
Auto7.1
Teleop32.0
End7.6
Second
41.22.9
23.826.7
Auto7.7
Teleop28.0
End5.4
red by 22.4
8029
#43
18.81.5
22.924.4
Auto4.2
Teleop13.4
End1.2
Third
3596
#36
20.92.2
21.323.5
Auto3.8
Teleop15.8
End1.3
red by 5.1
9760
#42
15.82.3
16.318.6
Auto4.6
Teleop10.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsEarned