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Red185
283036.5
173275.5
478656.9
Blue154
622356.4
235827.1
791546.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18113050100150200250185154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+31Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
6Leave6
8Coral scored#5
38Coral points23
44Total auto29
TeleoperatedRed +16
22Coral scored#21
79Coral points77
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#4
12Processor points6
24Net points16
36Algae points22
115Total teleop99
Reef
12L4#8
6L3#10
8L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#31
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points0
185Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.50.5
72.973.5
Auto18.8
Teleop46.1
End10.6
red by 19.1
6223
#13
56.40.6
55.255.8
Auto10.0
Teleop38.5
End7.9
Second
56.90.5
54.354.9
Auto17.8
Teleop34.9
End4.3
red by 10.1
7915
#23
46.70.8
45.246.0
Auto7.1
Teleop32.0
End7.6
Third
2830
#24
36.50.5
34.034.5
Auto5.9
Teleop27.5
End3.2
red by 9.4
27.10.6
25.926.5
Auto7.1
Teleop11.9
End8.2