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Red120
335438.0
940148.8
514823.9
Blue105
664321.9
469324.2
171448.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1087850100150200120105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+3Teleop
+15Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave3
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points13
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +18
13Coral scored#17
45Coral points61
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
6Processor points12
16Net points12
22Algae points24
67Total teleop85
Reef
10L4#8
4L3#6
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#25
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points0
120Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.81.7
39.140.8
Auto15.0
Teleop26.7
End7.1
blue by 0.1
1714
#10
48.82.0
35.337.3
Auto11.2
Teleop32.6
End5.0
Second
3354
#20
38.01.7
29.130.7
Auto8.9
Teleop27.8
End1.3
red by 13.8
4693
#32
24.22.0
21.523.4
Auto4.4
Teleop17.7
End2.1
Third
5148
#35
23.91.9
21.423.3
Auto4.7
Teleop16.0
End3.3
red by 2.1
6643
#31
21.93.0
15.618.5
Auto3.4
Teleop16.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed