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Red93
335438.0
220234.0
870019.8
Blue108
369221.8
593447.3
109119.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87878085909510010593108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+3Teleop
Endgame+19
Fouls+15
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
4Coral scored#2
19Coral points9
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +4
12Coral scored#14
42Coral points52
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
66Total teleop70
Reef
5L4#7
5L3#5
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
4Foul points0
93Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3354
#20
38.00.1
30.930.9
Auto8.9
Teleop27.8
End1.3
blue by 9.3
47.30.9
43.944.8
Auto7.9
Teleop28.8
End10.6
Second
2202
#14
34.00.1
32.132.0
Auto9.9
Teleop21.3
End2.8
red by 12.2
3692
#27
21.80.9
21.222.1
Auto3.9
Teleop14.9
End3.0
Third
8700
#36
19.80.1
16.516.5
Auto4.9
Teleop11.7
End3.2
red by 0.3
1091
#26
19.50.9
17.017.9
Auto2.5
Teleop14.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned