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Red69
93034.5
694733.1
122030.4
Blue62
1055318.3
642140.8
664321.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions998102040601201401606962

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+7Teleop
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave0
5Coral scored#3
26Coral points16
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +3
7Coral scored#8
25Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
39Total teleop42
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
69Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#22
34.52.4
37.134.7
Auto10.7
Teleop19.1
End4.7
blue by 6.4
6421
#24
40.81.1
37.436.3
Auto6.7
Teleop28.9
End5.2
Second
6947
#21
33.11.5
28.727.3
Auto9.9
Teleop18.9
End4.3
red by 11.2
6643
#31
21.91.8
22.220.4
Auto3.4
Teleop16.4
End2.0
Third
1220
#25
30.42.4
25.022.6
Auto9.0
Teleop15.5
End5.9
red by 12.1
18.31.8
18.716.9
Auto4.8
Teleop11.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed