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Red111
460765.2
206224.1
870019.8
Blue122
593447.3
599324.3
940148.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8911650100150200111122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+9
Endgame+19
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave6
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points23
15Total auto29
TeleoperatedRed +5
16Coral scored#11
56Coral points41
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
74Total teleop69
Reef
5L4#7
6L3#4
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
8Foul points0
111Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.21.3
49.150.4
Auto13.8
Teleop44.9
End6.5
red by 16.4
48.81.2
39.841.0
Auto15.0
Teleop26.7
End7.1
Second
2062
#34
24.11.3
18.419.7
Auto5.4
Teleop17.5
End1.1
blue by 23.2
47.31.2
44.845.9
Auto7.9
Teleop28.8
End10.6
Third
8700
#36
19.81.3
16.517.7
Auto4.9
Teleop11.7
End3.2
blue by 4.5
5993
#39
24.31.9
20.021.9
Auto3.5
Teleop19.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned