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Red98
206224.1
318433.3
469324.2
Blue89
514823.9
179239.3
369221.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67910501502002503009889

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+1
Endgame+1
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +6
11Coral scored#11
39Coral points41
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
12Processor points12
24Net points16
36Algae points28
75Total teleop69
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#5
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
10Foul points0
98Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3184
#18
33.31.7
23.625.2
Auto5.1
Teleop25.1
End3.0
blue by 6.0
39.31.2
32.934.2
Auto8.9
Teleop26.5
End3.9
Second
4693
#32
24.21.8
19.621.5
Auto4.4
Teleop17.7
End2.1
red by 0.3
5148
#35
23.91.0
16.417.4
Auto4.7
Teleop16.0
End3.3
Third
2062
#34
24.11.8
13.515.3
Auto5.4
Teleop17.5
End1.1
red by 2.2
3692
#27
21.81.0
20.921.8
Auto3.9
Teleop14.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed