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Red122
93054.0
657448.3
1026417.8
Blue154
130653.3
710337.5
219445.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135139100150200122154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+56
Endgame+32
Fouls+32
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points21
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +56
9Coral scored#23
34Coral points82
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
18Processor points18
12Net points20
30Algae points38
64Total teleop120
Reef
4L4#6
5L3#11
3L2#7
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#35
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
2Foul points2
122Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#13
54.00.9
57.456.5
Auto14.3
Teleop34.6
End5.2
red by 0.7
1306
#11
53.30.8
51.152.0
Auto10.4
Teleop38.9
End4.1
Second
48.30.9
51.951.0
Auto8.2
Teleop31.9
End8.2
red by 2.8
2194
#21
45.50.8
43.644.5
Auto13.2
Teleop31.9
End0.5
Third
17.80.9
15.514.6
Auto4.0
Teleop12.7
End1.2
blue by 19.6
7103
#12
37.50.8
36.437.2
Auto8.8
Teleop28.8
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsMissed