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Red177
702151.3
582637.0
282655.7
Blue183
125948.1
250651.1
93054.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147162050100200250300177183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+6Teleop
+6Endgame
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
7Coral scored#7
34Coral points37
37Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +9
24Coral scored#21
88Coral points77
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
6Processor points12
20Net points16
26Algae points28
114Total teleop105
Reef
12L4#13
8L3#6
5L2#7
6L1 · trough#2
37Game pieces#34
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points12
177Total score183

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2826
#16
55.70.8
54.955.7
Auto12.9
Teleop36.3
End6.5
red by 1.7
930
#13
54.00.5
53.153.5
Auto14.3
Teleop34.6
End5.2
Second
51.30.8
50.551.3
Auto12.5
Teleop28.0
End10.8
red by 0.2
2506
#10
51.10.5
50.250.6
Auto7.7
Teleop35.7
End7.8
Third
5826
#24
37.00.8
36.337.0
Auto10.2
Teleop24.5
End2.3
blue by 11.0
1259
#19
48.10.5
47.147.5
Auto10.4
Teleop30.2
End7.4