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Final 22025 TWIST
Red118
631822.1
173255.1
171443.2
Blue84
122023.1
167528.8
283034.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1358705010015020011884

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+26Teleop
+34Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave9
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points17
30Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +22
16Coral scored#12
56Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
74Total teleop52
Reef
9L4#7
6L3#3
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#17
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points0
118Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.10.1
55.255.1
Auto17.0
Teleop31.0
End7.1
red by 20.3
2830
#23
34.80.1
34.934.8
Auto10.2
Teleop19.0
End5.5
Second
43.20.1
43.243.2
Auto7.7
Teleop31.0
End4.5
red by 14.4
1675
#17
28.80.1
28.928.8
Auto4.4
Teleop19.4
End5.0
Third
6318
#25
22.10.1
22.222.1
Auto4.3
Teleop16.5
End1.3
blue by 1.0
23.10.1
23.223.1
Auto6.5
Teleop12.8
End3.8