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Red82
642120.0
179232.8
122023.1
Blue69
178118.9
167528.8
870123.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8689204060801001201408269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+9
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave0
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points26
12Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +5
9Coral scored#6
34Coral points21
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
44Total teleop39
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#15
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
82Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.80.0
38.338.3
Auto6.8
Teleop21.2
End4.7
red by 3.9
1675
#17
28.80.9
36.435.5
Auto4.4
Teleop19.4
End5.0
Second
23.10.0
23.423.4
Auto6.5
Teleop12.8
End3.8
blue by 0.2
8701
#15
23.30.9
27.226.3
Auto5.4
Teleop17.1
End0.8
Third
20.00.0
20.420.4
Auto4.2
Teleop11.9
End3.9
red by 1.1
1781
#19
18.90.9
19.218.3
Auto5.7
Teleop12.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsMissed