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Red54
171443.2
270422.1
582215.7
Blue79
96696.5
359612.6
219450.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110920501502002505479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+37
Endgame+33
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +15
0Leave6
2Coral scored#4
12Coral points21
12Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +22
6Coral scored#10
22Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
28Total teleop50
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#3
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#17
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
8Foul points0
54Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.23.6
49.445.9
Auto7.7
Teleop31.0
End4.5
blue by 7.1
50.30.6
50.149.4
Auto17.5
Teleop32.3
End0.5
Second
2704
#11
22.13.6
26.523.0
Auto5.0
Teleop16.7
End0.4
red by 9.6
3596
#24
12.60.6
17.416.8
Auto2.0
Teleop10.0
End0.6
Third
5822
#13
15.73.6
17.513.9
Auto5.7
Teleop7.7
End2.4
red by 9.2
9669
#22
6.50.6
11.911.3
Auto3.6
Teleop2.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsMissed