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Match 72025 WIWI
Red189
179673.0
999913.1
19555.6
Blue107
17338.7
17817.5
808531.9
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14986050200250300350400189107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+72Teleop
+82Endgame
+82Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
6Leave9
10Coral scored#3
48Coral points14
54Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +41
19Coral scored#15
69Coral points54
4Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
24Processor points6
20Net points12
44Algae points18
113Total teleop72
Reef
11L4#5
8L3#6
5L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +82
6Foul points6
189Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.01.2
69.670.8
Auto22.8
Teleop41.6
End8.7
red by 34.3
173
#6
38.70.3
38.038.3
Auto8.1
Teleop30.1
End0.6
Second
195
#2
55.61.2
52.153.3
Auto16.3
Teleop33.8
End5.5
red by 23.6
8085
#10
31.90.3
31.231.6
Auto4.5
Teleop23.4
End4.0
Third
9999
#22
13.11.9
7.89.6
Auto4.7
Teleop7.7
End0.2
blue by 4.4
178
#16
17.50.3
16.817.1
Auto5.2
Teleop9.3
End3.0