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Red112
14133.5
240532.4
7433.3
Blue95
8539.5
861227.0
917633.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104105608012014011295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+17Teleop
+17Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave6
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points10
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +21
12Coral scored#10
42Coral points35
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
74Total teleop53
Reef
7L4#5
2L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points0
112Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141
#9
33.50.8
35.135.9
Auto6.6
Teleop18.4
End8.5
blue by 6.0
85
#27
39.50.4
38.237.8
Auto7.5
Teleop26.2
End5.7
Second
74
#7
33.30.8
35.236.0
Auto3.0
Teleop22.3
End8.1
blue by 0.3
9176
#11
33.60.4
31.230.8
Auto4.2
Teleop23.7
End5.6
Third
2405
#17
32.40.8
29.730.5
Auto5.0
Teleop24.9
End2.6
red by 5.4
8612
#22
27.00.4
31.330.9
Auto3.5
Teleop19.6
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsEarned