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Red185
191869.4
276786.3
910621.0
Blue158
917633.6
400335.7
496738.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions207100050150250300185158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+57Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
0Leave9
7Coral scored#0
34Coral points0
34Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +32
31Coral scored#24
113Coral points87
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#2
12Processor points18
20Net points8
32Algae points26
145Total teleop113
Reef
11L4#9
14L3#7
10L2#6
3L1 · trough#2
45Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +30
6Cage & park36
6Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
185Total score158

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.30.1
83.883.7
Auto18.1
Teleop56.3
End11.9
red by 47.9
4967
#26
38.40.9
35.836.7
Auto7.5
Teleop26.0
End4.8
Second
69.40.1
66.966.8
Auto13.1
Teleop46.1
End10.3
red by 33.7
4003
#12
35.70.9
33.134.0
Auto4.7
Teleop23.9
End7.2
Third
9106
#28
21.00.1
21.121.0
Auto0.1
Teleop17.0
End4.0
blue by 12.5
9176
#11
33.60.9
31.031.8
Auto4.2
Teleop23.7
End5.6