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Red124
335738.1
32348.7
609036.3
Blue119
85844.1
277141.8
14133.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79139050100200250124119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+13Teleop
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +9
15Coral scored#18
54Coral points65
4Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
24Processor points12
24Net points16
48Algae points28
102Total teleop93
Reef
5L4#7
8L3#6
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
124Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.10.7
37.137.8
Auto11.2
Teleop23.8
End3.0
blue by 6.1
858
#16
44.10.4
44.544.1
Auto8.8
Teleop34.8
End0.5
Second
36.30.7
35.336.0
Auto8.5
Teleop25.4
End2.3
blue by 5.5
2771
#13
41.80.4
42.642.3
Auto9.8
Teleop26.0
End6.0
Third
3234
#18
8.70.7
8.08.7
Auto1.7
Teleop3.1
End3.9
blue by 24.7
141
#9
33.50.4
34.333.9
Auto6.6
Teleop18.4
End8.5