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Red130
651053.5
558456.2
997412.6
Blue76
649730.6
999214.3
1000239.0
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1358205010015020025013076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+46Teleop
+64Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
0Leave9
8Coral scored#1
40Coral points6
40Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +21
13Coral scored#9
48Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
66Total teleop45
Reef
10L4#4
5L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#13
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +54
0Foul points10
130Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.20.2
56.056.2
Auto17.1
Teleop32.9
End6.2
red by 17.3
39.00.4
39.439.0
Auto8.1
Teleop29.6
End1.3
Second
53.50.2
53.353.5
Auto13.8
Teleop33.8
End6.0
red by 22.9
30.60.4
31.030.6
Auto6.2
Teleop20.0
End4.4
Third
9974
#25
12.60.2
12.412.6
Auto1.6
Teleop9.7
End1.2
blue by 1.7
9992
#19
14.30.4
14.714.3
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End2.3