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Red83
1000239.0
997412.6
918923.6
Blue84
998626.9
564817.6
649730.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61850501001502008384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+5Teleop
+5Endgame
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +1
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
4Coral points12
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +4
14Coral scored#12
50Coral points44
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
68Total teleop64
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points6
83Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.01.5
31.032.5
Auto8.1
Teleop29.6
End1.3
red by 8.4
30.61.1
23.124.2
Auto6.2
Teleop20.0
End4.4
Second
9189
#11
23.61.5
21.122.7
Auto6.4
Teleop13.0
End4.2
blue by 3.3
26.91.6
20.021.6
Auto4.7
Teleop21.3
End0.8
Third
9974
#25
12.62.2
7.910.2
Auto1.6
Teleop9.7
End1.2
blue by 5.0
5648
#20
17.61.1
18.119.3
Auto1.5
Teleop15.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsMissed