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Red56
914723.3
997412.6
1055210.8
Blue47
999214.3
958710.4
1000239.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4462020801001201401605647

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+1Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +11
6Coral scored#5
22Coral points17
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
36Total teleop25
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#10
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
56Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.30.9
21.122.1
Auto5.7
Teleop12.9
End4.7
blue by 15.6
39.00.7
32.531.8
Auto8.1
Teleop29.6
End1.3
Second
9974
#25
12.61.3
10.211.4
Auto1.6
Teleop9.7
End1.2
blue by 1.7
9992
#19
14.30.9
12.912.0
Auto4.8
Teleop7.2
End2.3
Third
10.80.9
10.511.5
Auto3.8
Teleop5.7
End1.3
red by 0.3
9587
#26
10.40.7
11.410.7
Auto2.5
Teleop6.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsMissed78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed