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Qual 252026 Arkansas Regional
Red249
4522167.4
875334.1
748311.8
Blue208
346837.3
3937142.8
545468.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1832150100300400500249208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+15Auto
+1Teleop
+31Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
36Fuel26
30Tower25
66Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +14
19Transition28
63Shifts 1–257
42Shifts 3–437
14Endgame fuel30
138Total teleop152
EndgameRed +30
30Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +41
15Foul points5
249Total score208
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4522
#2
167.43.5
151.0→154.5
Auto29.2
Teleop137.3
End0.9
red by 24.7
3937
#3
142.80.0
113.7→113.7
Auto23.7
Teleop118.3
End0.8
Second
8753
#9
34.15.8
18.2→24.1
Auto9.6
Teleop19.7
End4.9
blue by 34.1
5454
#4
68.20.0
41.0→41.0
Auto11.9
Teleop56.7
End-0.4
Third
7483
#14
11.85.8
12.3→18.1
Auto7.0
Teleop2.7
End2.2
blue by 25.5
3468
#15
37.30.0
48.6→48.6
Auto8.9
Teleop28.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
74%Energized oddsEarned75%Energized oddsEarned
Supercharged
3%Supercharged oddsMissed4%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed