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Qual 1022026 FIRST California Northern State Championship
Red170
3045200.6
666528.6
1033927.5
Blue145
541944.1
681421.9
641888.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3111340100200400500600170145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
Auto+28
+20Teleop
+20Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousBlue +28
14Fuel27
10Tower25
24Total auto52
TeleoperatedRed +48
24Transition6
33Shifts 1–234
43Shifts 3–427
26Endgame fuel11
126Total teleop78
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +25
20Foul points15
170Total score145
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3045
#5
200.68.5
214.4→205.8
Auto39.7
Teleop160.6
End0.3
red by 111.7
6418
#48
88.91.5
86.0→84.6
Auto15.6
Teleop73.9
End-0.6
Second
6665
#40
28.68.5
34.5→26.0
Auto6.4
Teleop22.2
End-0.1
blue by 15.6
5419
#60
44.11.5
41.5→40.0
Auto13.3
Teleop30.8
End0.0
Third
10339
#43
27.58.5
29.3→20.7
Auto6.0
Teleop21.7
End-0.1
red by 5.6
6814
#59
21.91.5
24.4→23.0
Auto10.0
Teleop12.0
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
47%Energized oddsMissed38%Energized oddsMissed
Supercharged
20%Supercharged oddsMissed1%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed