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Qual 482026 FIRST California Northern State Championship
Red344
76659.7
840107.9
3501135.6
Blue615
641888.9
1678273.7
2073160.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2125660100300400500700800344615

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
Auto+66
Teleop+286
Endgame+286
Fouls+271
AutonomousBlue +66
11Fuel50
13Tower40
24Total auto90
TeleoperatedBlue +220
35Transition68
136Shifts 1–2226
102Shifts 3–4187
32Endgame fuel44
305Total teleop525
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalBlue +271
15Foul points0
344Total score615
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3501
#16
135.65.3
114.1→119.4
Auto17.1
Teleop118.6
End-0.1
blue by 138.1
1678
#6
273.77.5
288.6→296.1
Auto63.3
Teleop209.6
End0.8
Second
840
#38
107.95.3
85.9→91.2
Auto17.7
Teleop90.5
End-0.2
blue by 52.7
2073
#11
160.77.5
129.7→137.2
Auto28.3
Teleop132.4
End0.0
Third
766
#54
59.75.3
49.6→54.9
Auto11.6
Teleop47.9
End0.2
blue by 29.3
6418
#48
88.97.5
84.2→91.7
Auto15.6
Teleop73.9
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
94%Energized oddsEarned99%Energized oddsEarned
Supercharged
7%Supercharged oddsMissed67%Supercharged oddsEarned
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed