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Qual 672026 FIRST California Northern State Championship
Red646
3970119.0
3256179.1
3045200.6
Blue444
6238114.3
3257134.0
846163.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45540401,0002,0003,0004,0005,000646444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+8Auto
+202Teleop
+202Endgame
+202Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
60Fuel68
72Tower56
132Total auto124
TeleoperatedRed +194
101Transition34
195Shifts 1–2118
126Shifts 3–494
92Endgame fuel74
514Total teleop320
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +202
0Foul points0
646Total score444
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3045
#5
200.614.2
201.3→215.5
Auto39.7
Teleop160.6
End0.3
red by 37.0
846
#18
163.63.1
160.3→163.4
Auto36.0
Teleop127.9
End-0.3
Second
3256
#13
179.114.2
125.9→140.1
Auto45.8
Teleop133.3
End-0.0
red by 45.1
3257
#28
134.03.1
111.3→114.4
Auto40.2
Teleop93.9
End-0.1
Third
3970
#22
119.014.2
106.0→120.2
Auto23.7
Teleop95.6
End-0.3
red by 4.7
6238
#15
114.33.1
125.7→128.8
Auto25.0
Teleop89.3
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
99%Energized oddsEarned95%Energized oddsEarned
Supercharged
47%Supercharged oddsEarned32%Supercharged oddsEarned
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed