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Qual 292026 CA District Orange County Event
Red172
580547.7
265836.2
11589.2
Blue225
5199106.4
1058620.8
622049.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118196050100150250300350172225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
Auto+29
Teleop+53
Endgame+53
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +29
16Fuel28
7Tower24
23Total auto52
TeleoperatedBlue +24
16Transition28
39Shifts 1–253
58Shifts 3–454
36Endgame fuel38
149Total teleop173
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points0
172Total score225
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
#5
89.23.2
66.6→69.8
Auto10.9
Teleop77.0
End1.4
blue by 17.2
5199
#4
106.43.0
113.3→116.3
Auto26.3
Teleop79.9
End0.3
Second
5805
#23
47.73.2
27.3→30.5
Auto9.6
Teleop37.8
End0.3
blue by 1.6
6220
#15
49.33.0
38.4→41.4
Auto8.2
Teleop40.5
End0.6
Third
2658
#30
36.23.2
30.1→33.3
Auto7.0
Teleop29.6
End-0.4
red by 15.3
10586
#32
20.83.0
28.2→31.2
Auto10.4
Teleop10.4
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
39%Energized oddsEarned86%Energized oddsEarned
Supercharged
2%Supercharged oddsMissed3%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed