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Qual 212026 Denver Regional
Red229
748542.3
3354104.9
747915.7
Blue107
833438.2
203660.1
1033334.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14699050200250300350229107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+2Auto
+112Teleop
+122Endgame
+122Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
24Fuel17
11Tower16
35Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +110
21Transition6
99Shifts 1–233
33Shifts 3–425
31Endgame fuel10
184Total teleop74
EndgameRed +10
10Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +122
0Foul points0
229Total score107
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3354
#23
104.96.3
78.3→84.6
Auto15.8
Teleop89.4
End-0.3
red by 44.8
2036
#28
60.10.3
59.3→59.6
Auto9.1
Teleop49.8
End1.1
Second
7485
#51
42.36.3
33.6→39.8
Auto7.6
Teleop31.6
End3.1
red by 4.2
8334
#21
38.20.3
27.1→27.5
Auto11.7
Teleop27.2
End-0.8
Third
7479
#48Sur
15.710.4
23.1→33.6
Auto3.9
Teleop11.2
End0.6
blue by 19.1
10333
#31
34.80.3
15.4→15.7
Auto12.6
Teleop22.5
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
76%Energized oddsEarned53%Energized oddsEarned
Supercharged
1%Supercharged oddsMissed3%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed