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Qual 202026 CIAC CT State Championship
Red280
888944.4
17873.5
230117.5
Blue159
17379.2
31826.8
8085110.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2392070100300400500280159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
Auto+1
+116Teleop
+116Endgame
+121Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
14Fuel14
10Tower11
24Total auto25
TeleoperatedRed +117
47Transition20
56Shifts 1–240
100Shifts 3–451
48Endgame fuel23
251Total teleop134
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +121
5Foul points0
280Total score159
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#5
117.53.2
110.0→113.1
Auto12.9
Teleop103.7
End0.9
red by 7.4
8085
#8
110.23.0
107.3→104.4
Auto21.0
Teleop90.0
End-0.8
Second
178
#11
73.53.2
76.6→79.7
Auto12.7
Teleop61.5
End-0.6
blue by 5.7
173
#22
79.23.0
81.4→78.4
Auto13.6
Teleop65.5
End0.1
Third
8889
#25
44.43.2
41.1→44.3
Auto13.2
Teleop27.0
End4.3
red by 37.6
3182
#28
6.83.0
14.8→11.8
Auto10.0
Teleop-2.7
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
64%Energized oddsEarned49%Energized oddsMissed
Supercharged
6%Supercharged oddsMissed3%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
1%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed