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Qual 242026 CIAC CT State Championship
Red302
99919.2
888944.4
195232.2
Blue309
22879.1
176219.9
17873.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293413100200500600700302309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+24Auto
Teleop+12
Endgame+12
Fouls+7
AutonomousRed +24
64Fuel22
23Tower41
87Total auto63
TeleoperatedBlue +36
31Transition47
82Shifts 1–296
78Shifts 3–466
19Endgame fuel37
210Total teleop246
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalBlue +7
5Foul points0
302Total score309
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#4
232.20.1
226.9→227.0
Auto50.8
Teleop181.8
End-0.4
red by 12.2
176
#3
219.95.1
218.6→213.5
Auto52.7
Teleop167.3
End0.0
Second
8889
#25
44.40.1
44.3→44.4
Auto13.2
Teleop27.0
End4.3
blue by 34.7
228
#14
79.15.1
87.4→82.3
Auto13.0
Teleop64.5
End1.6
Third
999
#26
19.20.1
24.2→24.3
Auto9.4
Teleop10.2
End-0.4
blue by 54.3
178
#11
73.55.1
79.7→74.6
Auto12.7
Teleop61.5
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
30%Energized oddsEarned83%Energized oddsEarned
Supercharged
21%Supercharged oddsMissed29%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed