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Qual 202026 Hawaii Regional
Red38
289611.4
24779.7
372128.5
Blue115
244348.7
90122.0
388127.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62103015020025030038115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+37
Endgame+47
Fouls+77
AutonomousBlue +17
7Fuel14
4Tower14
11Total auto28
TeleoperatedBlue +20
4Transition8
12Shifts 1–221
6Shifts 3–49
5Endgame fuel9
27Total teleop47
EndgameBlue +10
0Tower10
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalBlue +77
0Foul points30
38Total score115
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3721
#12
28.53.0
33.2→30.1
Auto7.7
Teleop20.0
End0.8
blue by 20.2
2443
#5
48.71.0
48.8→47.8
Auto6.3
Teleop42.5
End-0.1
Second
2896
#23
11.43.0
19.3→16.3
Auto4.0
Teleop7.8
End-0.4
blue by 16.2
3881
#10
27.61.0
32.5→31.5
Auto8.4
Teleop16.5
End2.8
Third
2477
#28
9.73.0
12.9→9.8
Auto0.1
Teleop9.2
End0.3
red by 7.6
9012
#13
2.01.0
12.7→11.7
Auto1.7
Teleop-1.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
25%Energized oddsMissed45%Energized oddsMissed
Supercharged
2%Supercharged oddsMissed2%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed