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Qual 382026 Iowa Regional
Red120
784862.6
642010.2
1131230.7
Blue32
527526.0
954342.3
52536.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1299805015020025012032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+3Auto
+53Teleop
+53Endgame
+88Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
14Fuel11
9Tower9
23Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +50
12Transition2
19Shifts 1–26
18Shifts 3–42
13Endgame fuel2
62Total teleop12
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +88
35Foul points0
120Total score32
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7848
#16
62.62.4
67.0→64.6
Auto5.5
Teleop57.4
End-0.3
red by 20.2
9543
#27
42.37.4
42.5→35.1
Auto13.6
Teleop28.3
End0.5
Second
11312
#22
30.74.0
43.5→39.5
Auto11.8
Teleop18.8
End0.1
blue by 5.4
525
#33
36.14.5
38.9→34.4
Auto6.8
Teleop29.0
End0.3
Third
6420
#30
10.22.4
10.2→7.8
Auto2.8
Teleop5.9
End1.5
blue by 15.8
5275
#44
26.04.5
17.5→13.0
Auto11.9
Teleop14.7
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
43%Energized oddsMissed34%Energized oddsMissed
Supercharged
1%Supercharged oddsMissed2%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed