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Qual 112026 Illinois State Championship
Red409
111182.5
784870.7
235863.1
Blue247
478745.4
582254.3
11291.7
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3281450100200400500600409247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+53Auto
+162Teleop
+162Endgame
+162Fouls
AutonomousRed +53
27Fuel6
42Tower10
69Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +109
58Transition19
130Shifts 1–294
68Shifts 3–477
84Endgame fuel41
340Total teleop231
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +162
0Foul points0
409Total score247
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#7
182.57.8
179.6→187.3
Auto36.1
Teleop146.3
End0.1
red by 90.8
112
#8
91.75.8
73.0→78.8
Auto10.8
Teleop80.8
End0.0
Second
7848
#10
70.77.8
59.5→67.3
Auto4.4
Teleop66.5
End-0.3
red by 16.3
5822
#11
54.35.8
51.9→57.7
Auto8.3
Teleop46.2
End-0.1
Third
2358
#9
63.17.8
53.4→61.2
Auto7.5
Teleop55.6
End-0.1
red by 17.7
4787
#17
45.45.8
35.4→41.1
Auto9.0
Teleop36.2
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
76%Energized oddsEarned51%Energized oddsEarned
Supercharged
4%Supercharged oddsEarned3%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed