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Qual 152026 Illinois State Championship
Red377
582254.3
593496.5
111182.5
Blue607
4096175.1
11291.7
10435150.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354373200300400500600377607

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
Auto+49
Teleop+230
Endgame+230
Fouls+230
AutonomousBlue +49
38Fuel51
15Tower51
53Total auto102
TeleoperatedBlue +181
26Transition57
120Shifts 1–2210
128Shifts 3–4142
50Endgame fuel96
324Total teleop505
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalBlue +230
0Foul points0
377Total score607
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#7
182.52.4
183.8→186.2
Auto36.1
Teleop146.3
End0.1
red by 7.4
4096
#1
175.116.6
148.7→165.2
Auto40.1
Teleop135.1
End-0.1
Second
5934
#13
96.52.4
99.4→101.8
Auto26.5
Teleop69.9
End0.1
blue by 54.4
10435
#2
150.916.6
131.2→147.8
Auto21.1
Teleop129.6
End0.1
Third
5822
#11
54.32.4
57.7→60.1
Auto8.3
Teleop46.2
End-0.1
blue by 37.4
112
#8
91.716.6
78.8→95.4
Auto10.8
Teleop80.8
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
83%Energized oddsEarned97%Energized oddsEarned
Supercharged
8%Supercharged oddsEarned9%Supercharged oddsEarned
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed