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Qual 182026 Illinois State Championship
Red214
11291.7
270468.8
593496.5
Blue44
888044.7
229051.3
1117355.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291185010040050060021444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+26Auto
+170Teleop
+170Endgame
+170Fouls
AutonomousRed +26
20Fuel4
17Tower7
37Total auto11
TeleoperatedRed +144
34Transition5
62Shifts 1–28
42Shifts 3–411
39Endgame fuel9
177Total teleop33
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +170
0Foul points0
214Total score44
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5934
#13
96.53.7
101.8→98.1
Auto26.5
Teleop69.9
End0.1
red by 41.3
11173
#14
55.29.8
63.6→53.8
Auto11.9
Teleop43.6
End-0.3
Second
112
#8
91.73.7
95.4→91.6
Auto10.8
Teleop80.8
End0.0
red by 40.4
2290
#15
51.39.8
65.1→55.3
Auto6.1
Teleop45.2
End-0.0
Third
2704
#16
68.83.7
72.6→68.9
Auto8.6
Teleop60.2
End0.0
red by 24.1
8880
#18
44.79.8
62.5→52.7
Auto10.3
Teleop34.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
81%Energized oddsMissed91%Energized oddsMissed
Supercharged
4%Supercharged oddsMissed4%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed