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Qual 202026 Illinois State Championship
Red158
421336.1
2338180.3
812216.0
Blue260
809680.1
11291.7
229051.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26823005001,0001,5002,0002,500158260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+117
Endgame+117
Fouls+102
AutonomousRed +1
5Fuel4
4Tower4
9Total auto8
TeleoperatedBlue +118
21Transition25
62Shifts 1–2115
34Shifts 3–456
17Endgame fuel56
134Total teleop252
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalBlue +102
15Foul points0
158Total score260
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2338
#5
180.37.5
184.7→177.2
Auto34.4
Teleop145.9
End-0.0
red by 88.6
112
#8
91.72.2
91.6→93.8
Auto10.8
Teleop80.8
End0.0
Second
4213
#19
36.17.5
47.2→39.7
Auto2.3
Teleop33.7
End0.1
blue by 44.0
8096
#6
80.12.2
80.0→82.2
Auto10.5
Teleop69.8
End-0.2
Third
8122
#22
16.07.5
23.5→16.0
Auto4.5
Teleop11.6
End-0.1
blue by 35.3
2290
#15
51.32.2
55.3→57.5
Auto6.1
Teleop45.2
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
40%Energized oddsMissed88%Energized oddsEarned
Supercharged
12%Supercharged oddsMissed4%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed