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Qual 72026 Illinois State Championship
Red250
111182.5
229051.3
348826.1
Blue279
784870.7
4096175.1
809680.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29627402004006008001,000250279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+29
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
AutonomousRed +14
32Fuel21
20Tower17
52Total auto38
TeleoperatedBlue +43
30Transition46
56Shifts 1–271
82Shifts 3–481
30Endgame fuel43
198Total teleop241
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points0
250Total score279
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#7
182.51.9
181.5→179.6
Auto36.1
Teleop146.3
End0.1
red by 7.4
4096
#1
175.10.8
143.6→144.4
Auto40.1
Teleop135.1
End-0.1
Second
2290
#15
51.31.9
59.2→57.3
Auto6.1
Teleop45.2
End-0.0
blue by 28.8
8096
#6
80.10.8
65.0→65.7
Auto10.5
Teleop69.8
End-0.2
Third
3488
#20
26.11.9
38.4→36.5
Auto7.7
Teleop18.3
End0.1
blue by 44.6
7848
#10
70.70.8
58.7→59.5
Auto4.4
Teleop66.5
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
86%Energized oddsEarned87%Energized oddsEarned
Supercharged
7%Supercharged oddsMissed5%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed