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Match 22026 Illinois State Championship
Red206
11291.7
888044.7
809680.1
Blue112
229051.3
235863.1
593496.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions236232100150200250300350206112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+23Auto
+89Teleop
+89Endgame
+94Fouls
AutonomousRed +23
16Fuel14
27Tower6
43Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +66
24Transition15
84Shifts 1–232
33Shifts 3–436
17Endgame fuel9
158Total teleop92
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Penalties & totalRed +94
5Foul points0
206Total score112
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112
#8
91.70.5
93.8→93.4
Auto10.8
Teleop80.8
End0.0
blue by 4.8
5934
#13
96.52.6
102.6→100.0
Auto26.5
Teleop69.9
End0.1
Second
8096
#6
80.10.5
82.2→81.8
Auto10.5
Teleop69.8
End-0.2
red by 17.1
2358
#9
63.12.6
69.2→66.6
Auto7.5
Teleop55.6
End-0.1
Third
8880
#18
44.70.5
46.8→46.3
Auto10.3
Teleop34.3
End0.1
blue by 6.6
2290
#15
51.32.6
57.5→54.9
Auto6.1
Teleop45.2
End-0.0