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Qual 252026 Central Illinois Regional
Red170
328432.8
421341.4
623775.9
Blue58
802071.3
348834.7
415620.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13213910015020025017058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
Auto+9
+112Teleop
+112Endgame
+112Fouls
AutonomousBlue +9
7Fuel10
6Tower12
13Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +121
35Transition7
56Shifts 1–212
35Shifts 3–410
31Endgame fuel7
157Total teleop36
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +112
0Foul points0
170Total score58
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6237
#21
75.94.6
81.6→86.2
Auto5.8
Teleop70.5
End-0.4
red by 4.6
8020
#12
71.38.4
67.0→58.6
Auto16.8
Teleop54.9
End-0.4
Second
4213
#24
41.44.6
33.0→37.6
Auto4.9
Teleop36.4
End0.1
red by 6.7
3488
#10
34.78.4
45.9→37.5
Auto4.5
Teleop30.1
End0.2
Third
3284
#19
32.82.7
14.2→16.9
Auto11.5
Teleop21.6
End-0.3
red by 12.4
4156
#27
20.48.4
21.0→12.6
Auto5.8
Teleop14.6
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
33%Energized oddsEarned62%Energized oddsMissed
Supercharged
3%Supercharged oddsMissed2%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed