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Qual 232026 FIRST Indiana State Championship
Red290
843034.8
6721111.0
649876.5
Blue451
911975.4
1501135.2
1720127.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1763100100400500600700290451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
Auto+46
Teleop+151
Endgame+161
Fouls+161
AutonomousBlue +46
19Fuel57
38Tower46
57Total auto103
TeleoperatedBlue +105
17Transition71
87Shifts 1–292
81Shifts 3–4101
38Endgame fuel64
223Total teleop328
EndgameBlue +10
0Tower10
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalBlue +161
10Foul points10
290Total score451
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6721
#19
111.06.2
75.7→82.0
Auto24.5
Teleop86.6
End-0.0
blue by 24.2
1501
#6
135.210.5
149.4→159.9
Auto32.8
Teleop98.6
End3.8
Second
6498
#25
76.56.2
76.1→82.3
Auto20.4
Teleop56.1
End-0.1
blue by 50.9
1720
#8
127.410.5
89.4→99.8
Auto22.4
Teleop104.4
End0.6
Third
8430
#38
34.86.2
34.5→40.8
Auto4.0
Teleop30.1
End0.6
blue by 40.5
9119
#32
75.410.5
45.4→55.9
Auto10.4
Teleop65.3
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
51%Energized oddsEarned90%Energized oddsEarned
Supercharged
1%Supercharged oddsMissed4%Supercharged oddsEarned
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed