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Qual 492026 FIRST Indiana State Championship
Red253
234122.4
765739.5
943168.1
Blue396
911975.4
3494111.2
829109.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1962830100400500600253396

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
Auto+53
Teleop+153
Endgame+143
Fouls+143
AutonomousBlue +53
21Fuel61
13Tower26
34Total auto87
TeleoperatedBlue +100
31Transition33
90Shifts 1–2108
71Shifts 3–4136
17Endgame fuel32
209Total teleop309
EndgameRed +10
10Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalBlue +143
0Foul points0
253Total score396
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#20
122.43.5
108.2→111.8
Auto18.1
Teleop104.3
End-0.0
red by 11.2
3494
#11
111.28.8
96.6→105.4
Auto26.7
Teleop82.3
End2.2
Second
9431
#30
68.13.5
58.1→61.6
Auto11.8
Teleop53.0
End3.3
blue by 41.2
829
#14
109.38.8
97.2→106.1
Auto22.4
Teleop87.8
End-0.9
Third
7657
#35
39.53.5
33.8→37.3
Auto7.3
Teleop31.5
End0.7
blue by 35.8
9119
#32
75.48.8
69.6→78.4
Auto10.4
Teleop65.3
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
67%Energized oddsEarned85%Energized oddsEarned
Supercharged
2%Supercharged oddsMissed5%Supercharged oddsEarned
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed