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Qual 162026 Heartland Regional
Red256
495939.7
245718.0
1986125.5
Blue33
684311.1
941069.1
501321.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1698105010015020025030035040025633

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+30Auto
+198Teleop
+198Endgame
+223Fouls
AutonomousRed +30
14Fuel5
24Tower3
38Total auto8
TeleoperatedRed +168
22Transition3
72Shifts 1–211
57Shifts 3–48
42Endgame fuel3
193Total teleop25
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +223
25Foul points0
256Total score33
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#2
125.58.7
90.4→99.2
Auto24.5
Teleop100.9
End0.1
red by 56.3
9410
#13
69.16.2
43.6→37.4
Auto11.5
Teleop57.6
End0.0
Second
4959
#21Sur
39.78.7
29.5→38.2
Auto5.2
Teleop34.4
End0.0
red by 18.2
5013
#31
21.56.2
37.0→30.7
Auto8.1
Teleop13.1
End0.2
Third
2457
#41
18.05.2
32.5→37.7
Auto4.6
Teleop13.8
End-0.4
red by 6.9
6843
#23Sur
11.16.2
8.6→2.4
Auto1.3
Teleop10.1
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
57%Energized oddsEarned35%Energized oddsMissed
Supercharged
2%Supercharged oddsMissed2%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed