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Qual 242026 MA State Championship
Red515
6178.6
964484.7
88189.2
Blue187
862649.3
2079117.3
596255.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3452340100200300400500600515187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+34Auto
+288Teleop
+288Endgame
+328Fouls
AutonomousRed +34
54Fuel47
45Tower18
99Total auto65
TeleoperatedRed +254
47Transition12
109Shifts 1–244
147Shifts 3–431
68Endgame fuel30
371Total teleop117
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +328
45Foul points5
515Total score187
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#2
189.29.8
184.9→194.7
Auto44.3
Teleop144.9
End-0.1
red by 71.9
2079
#11
117.33.8
122.8→119.0
Auto24.7
Teleop92.9
End-0.3
Second
9644
#7
84.79.8
66.9→76.7
Auto22.6
Teleop62.4
End-0.3
red by 29.0
5962
#17
55.63.8
64.0→60.2
Auto15.8
Teleop40.4
End-0.6
Third
61
#9
78.69.8
70.5→80.4
Auto15.2
Teleop62.1
End1.4
red by 29.3
8626
#26
49.33.8
52.3→48.5
Auto17.3
Teleop32.0
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
44%Energized oddsEarned59%Energized oddsMissed
Supercharged
26%Supercharged oddsEarned7%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed