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Qual 42026 MA State Championship
Red559
6328248.6
542276.0
10254195.7
Blue259
476167.4
2079117.3
5000215.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534419200300500600700800559259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+66Auto
+270Teleop
+270Endgame
+300Fouls
AutonomousRed +66
45Fuel40
88Tower27
133Total auto67
TeleoperatedRed +204
71Transition25
135Shifts 1–296
89Shifts 3–449
101Endgame fuel22
396Total teleop192
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +300
30Foul points0
559Total score259
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6328
#1
248.61.7
203.9→205.6
Auto64.8
Teleop183.9
End-0.2
red by 33.3
5000
#13
215.210.6
235.2→224.6
Auto46.0
Teleop169.2
End0.0
Second
10254
#8
195.71.7
189.2→190.9
Auto35.2
Teleop160.7
End-0.2
red by 78.4
2079
#11
117.310.6
122.5→111.9
Auto24.7
Teleop92.9
End-0.3
Third
5422
#16
76.01.7
110.4→112.1
Auto10.8
Teleop65.3
End-0.0
red by 8.6
4761
#15
67.410.6
60.3→49.7
Auto9.7
Teleop57.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
97%Energized oddsEarned88%Energized oddsEarned
Supercharged
68%Supercharged oddsEarned56%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed