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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions231158050100200250300350400180215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
Auto+16
Teleop+40
Endgame+40
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +16
16Fuel27
13Tower18
29Total auto45
TeleoperatedBlue +24
16Transition18
76Shifts 1–245
37Shifts 3–465
17Endgame fuel42
146Total teleop170
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalBlue +35
5Foul points0
180Total score215
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
121.62.5
118.1115.6
Auto22.8
Teleop98.9
End-0.1
blue by 33.7
155.35.8
108.5114.3
Auto32.5
Teleop122.7
End0.1
Second
4381
#15
68.82.5
72.570.0
Auto13.4
Teleop55.9
End-0.5
red by 29.5
5239
#21
39.35.8
39.345.1
Auto10.7
Teleop28.8
End-0.1
Third
7221
#33
24.24.2
22.218.0
Auto6.8
Teleop17.6
End-0.1
blue by 3.6
27.83.5
15.218.6
Auto8.8
Teleop19.2
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
96%Energized oddsEarned56%Energized oddsEarned
Supercharged
2%Supercharged oddsMissed2%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed