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Qual 262026 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - Aptiv Foundation Division
Red377
1918203.7
931258.5
360490.0
Blue414
494147.9
521689.1
553474.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384334200300500600377414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
Auto+74
Teleop+37
Endgame+37
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +74
37Fuel59
17Tower69
54Total auto128
TeleoperatedRed +37
39Transition42
129Shifts 1–2144
107Shifts 3–472
48Endgame fuel28
323Total teleop286
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points0
377Total score414
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
#4
203.70.8
225.5→226.3
Auto33.7
Teleop171.2
End-1.2
red by 55.8
494
#7
147.95.7
135.4→141.0
Auto26.0
Teleop123.5
End-1.6
Second
3604
#5
90.00.8
79.8→80.5
Auto14.7
Teleop65.7
End9.6
red by 0.9
5216
#29
89.15.7
110.5→116.2
Auto26.9
Teleop62.6
End-0.3
Third
9312
#22
58.50.8
60.0→60.7
Auto15.2
Teleop43.2
End0.0
blue by 16.2
5534
#16
74.75.7
82.8→88.5
Auto18.5
Teleop56.7
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
98%Energized oddsEarned99%Energized oddsEarned
Supercharged
24%Supercharged oddsEarned6%Supercharged oddsEarned
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed