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Qual 12026 FIM District Marysville Event
Red186
33138.3
45337.9
586018.7
Blue49
561229.6
516717.2
759733.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1418405010020025030018649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+8Auto
+132Teleop
+132Endgame
+137Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
15Fuel7
7Tower7
22Total auto14
TeleoperatedRed +124
27Transition6
58Shifts 1–215
58Shifts 3–49
16Endgame fuel5
159Total teleop35
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +137
5Foul points0
186Total score49
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#1
138.35.7
81.1→86.8
Auto23.3
Teleop114.4
End0.7
red by 104.6
7597
#19
33.74.4
17.3→12.9
Auto8.9
Teleop24.9
End-0.1
Second
453
#11
37.95.7
18.5→24.3
Auto7.0
Teleop31.4
End-0.5
red by 8.3
5612
#20
29.64.4
37.4→33.0
Auto8.4
Teleop21.1
End0.1
Third
5860
#23
18.75.7
29.8→35.6
Auto2.5
Teleop17.1
End-0.8
red by 1.5
5167
#39
17.24.4
33.5→29.2
Auto6.2
Teleop11.8
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
52%Energized oddsEarned36%Energized oddsMissed
Supercharged
2%Supercharged oddsMissed2%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed