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Red176
438171.6
967325.7
57362.1
Blue170
376747.9
365538.2
442250.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions170135050100150200250300176170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+9Auto
+6Teleop
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
21Fuel16
15Tower11
36Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +3
27Transition17
41Shifts 1–268
43Shifts 3–425
24Endgame fuel28
135Total teleop138
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Penalties & totalRed +6
5Foul points5
176Total score170
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.60.2
71.872.1
Auto18.8
Teleop53.0
End-0.2
red by 21.1
50.40.7
49.850.4
Auto12.5
Teleop38.0
End-0.0
Second
573
#10
62.10.2
62.462.6
Auto12.1
Teleop49.5
End0.6
red by 14.2
3767
#17
47.90.7
47.347.9
Auto8.8
Teleop39.0
End0.1
Third
9673
#26
25.70.2
26.026.2
Auto5.7
Teleop20.1
End-0.1
blue by 12.5
3655
#28
38.20.7
37.538.2
Auto7.0
Teleop31.4
End-0.2