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Qual 232026 Northern Lights Regional
Red177
604594.2
462327.2
5913101.5
Blue55
251212.4
321223.2
468733.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1518405010020025030017755

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+30Auto
+132Teleop
+122Endgame
+122Fouls
AutonomousRed +30
26Fuel9
20Tower7
46Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +102
18Transition4
55Shifts 1–213
34Shifts 3–47
24Endgame fuel5
131Total teleop29
EndgameBlue +10
0Tower10
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +122
0Foul points0
177Total score55
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5913
#5
101.53.5
75.4→78.9
Auto25.0
Teleop76.8
End-0.2
red by 68.5
4687
#7
33.02.9
34.3→31.4
Auto2.7
Teleop29.0
End1.2
Second
6045
#4
94.23.5
61.8→65.3
Auto13.2
Teleop81.7
End-0.7
red by 71.0
3212
#25
23.22.9
15.7→12.9
Auto6.9
Teleop16.5
End-0.2
Third
4623
#29
27.23.5
8.6→12.0
Auto6.5
Teleop21.2
End-0.5
red by 14.8
2512
#39
12.42.9
30.8→28.0
Auto6.1
Teleop6.4
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
64%Energized oddsEarned42%Energized oddsMissed
Supercharged
2%Supercharged oddsMissed2%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed