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Qual 222026 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red287
688839.6
789098.7
4795130.1
Blue225
493563.8
1533103.7
1007728.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2451550100200300400500287225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+10Auto
+62Teleop
+62Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
26Fuel19
20Tower17
46Total auto36
TeleoperatedRed +52
32Transition27
96Shifts 1–273
82Shifts 3–441
31Endgame fuel48
241Total teleop189
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +62
0Foul points0
287Total score225
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4795
#3
130.14.1
113.7→117.8
Auto22.7
Teleop107.6
End-0.2
red by 26.4
1533
#8
103.74.3
82.7→86.9
Auto19.1
Teleop84.9
End-0.3
Second
7890
#9
98.74.1
72.0→76.1
Auto15.8
Teleop82.9
End0.1
red by 34.9
4935
#12
63.84.3
60.3→64.6
Auto8.7
Teleop55.3
End-0.3
Third
6888
#34
39.64.1
40.0→44.1
Auto11.3
Teleop28.5
End-0.2
red by 10.7
10077
#40
28.94.3
18.0→22.3
Auto7.4
Teleop21.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
82%Energized oddsEarned80%Energized oddsMissed
Supercharged
2%Supercharged oddsMissed1%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed