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Qual 312026 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red258
820535.1
791870.7
4561127.2
Blue261
9496244.7
482872.6
1128531.6
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions164360100200300400500600258261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
Auto+30
Teleop+8
Endgame+8
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +30
17Fuel28
6Tower25
23Total auto53
TeleoperatedRed +22
37Transition25
80Shifts 1–290
75Shifts 3–467
38Endgame fuel26
230Total teleop208
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalBlue +3
5Foul points0
258Total score261
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4561
#4
127.24.6
94.7→99.3
Auto23.4
Teleop103.8
End0.1
blue by 117.5
9496
#1
244.74.2
223.7→219.6
Auto53.4
Teleop191.4
End-0.1
Second
7918
#15
70.74.6
62.5→67.1
Auto12.0
Teleop57.9
End0.8
blue by 1.9
4828
#7
72.64.2
71.5→67.3
Auto19.1
Teleop52.1
End1.3
Third
8205
#47
35.14.6
26.4→31.1
Auto6.8
Teleop28.4
End-0.2
red by 3.5
11285
#27
31.64.2
28.4→24.2
Auto5.9
Teleop25.5
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
72%Energized oddsEarned88%Energized oddsEarned
Supercharged
2%Supercharged oddsMissed5%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed