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Qual 472026 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red140
1024821.6
205990.9
1141734.5
Blue177
1135327.1
4795130.1
915023.9
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14918850100250300350140177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+67
Endgame+67
Fouls+37
AutonomousRed +4
18Fuel14
12Tower12
30Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +71
7Transition32
36Shifts 1–243
22Shifts 3–460
15Endgame fuel16
80Total teleop151
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalBlue +37
30Foul points0
140Total score177
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2059
#13
90.92.6
87.7→85.1
Auto10.6
Teleop80.2
End0.1
blue by 39.2
4795
#3
130.10.0
124.0→124.0
Auto22.7
Teleop107.6
End-0.2
Second
11417
#37
34.52.6
38.3→35.7
Auto4.6
Teleop29.6
End0.3
red by 7.4
11353
#41
27.10.0
31.2→31.2
Auto9.9
Teleop17.2
End0.1
Third
10248
#44
21.62.6
22.8→20.2
Auto6.6
Teleop15.2
End-0.1
blue by 2.3
9150
#29
23.90.0
21.3→21.3
Auto6.9
Teleop17.2
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
17%Energized oddsMissed33%Energized oddsMissed
Supercharged
1%Supercharged oddsMissed2%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed